Global Markets Newsletter – October 2020

October was a difficult month due to the growing Co-rona effects with a heavy death toll and different measures taken by almost every country. In the US, presidential elections are in the epicenter of the news where economy may have more turbulence as increases in corporate tax may be expected which coupled by the corona-effects may lead faster to an upscaling recession. The FED remains the lender of last resort for banks and companies.

US non-farm payrolls were much lower to 661k from 1.5mln which normally would lead to higher unem-ployment. However, unemployment was kept at 7.9% mainly due to measures. PMI Manufacturing closed at 53.3 marginally dropped by 0.01 which shows at least a steady growth. Real estate industry has continued its momentum after August correc-tion with new home sales up by 1.9% and building permits up by 5.2%.

In Europe, many countries have decided to proceed to mini-lockdowns due to increased spread of the vi-rus. The effects in the relevant economies are vast mainly for sectors as food and beverage, tourism and transportation. ECB has already announced eco-nomic packages for its country members. In euro-zone economics, inflation remains stable at a nega-tive pace (-0.3%) and unemployment likewise at 8.1% (also stable). The rest of the indices reflect the last good moments of last summer. Retail sales were up 4.4% and industrial production also increased by 0.7% but on the negative signs consumer confidence was at low levels (-15.5) and eurozone business cli-mate also negative at -0.74.

In Greece, Turkish challenges continue but lock-downs have greater effects in the psychology and the society. Stock exchange traded at levels below 600 units showing recession and bonds were slightly higher in terms of yields with the 10-year govern-ment bond benchmark yield nearly at 1%.

The EUR/USD made its correction giving field to move in favour of the dollar as elections arrived at a point where uncertainty ended and hence volatility caused from elections diminishes.

Our preference remains the american equities ver-sus european stocks where we hold no position. US equities hold 60% of the total portfolio which the technological sector holding 60%. Cash remains cru-cial as corrections are buying opportunities often.

S&P-500 (year-to-date)
Dax-30 (year-to-date)
EUR/USD  (year-to-date)

Disclaimer: This document is for general information only and is not intented as investment advice or any other specific recommendation as to any particular course of action, or to solicit any product or service. The information provided herein is not legally binding and it does not constitute an offer or invitation to neter into any type of financial transaction. The information in this document does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, tax situation or particular needs of the reciepient. You should seek your own professional advice suitable to your particular circumstances prior to making any investment or if you are in doubt as to the information in this document.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS